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Upload a Vendor Proposal
Drop a vendor's pitch or SOW. We'll score it against Futurum Signal data, flag risks, and show how peers evaluated the same vendor.
Stress-Test a Board Deck
Upload your presentation before the board sees it. We'll check claims against market data, benchmark your spend, and suggest stronger framing.
Get a Second Opinion
Upload a budget plan, RFP, or NetSuite export. We'll compare your allocations to what 847 CIOs in your peer group are actually spending.
WHAT YOUR PEERS ARE DECIDING RIGHT NOW
Explore Full Survey →
67%
of your peers are increasing AI budgets in H2 2026 — are you keeping pace?
43%
of CIOs rank cybersecurity as their #1 budget priority — above cloud, above AI
#1
Agentic AI is the top emerging tech bet CTOs are making — here's who's winning
3.2×
Buyers are 3.2× more likely to shortlist vendors with proven AI integration
With AI
78%
Without
24%
DECISIONS FUTURUM SUPPORTS EVERY DAY
📊
"Should we renew our Palo Alto contract or switch to CrowdStrike?"
VP of IT Security · F500 Manufacturing
📋
"Our board wants to know if our AI spend is in line with peers."
CIO · $8B Financial Services
🔍
"We got 3 vendor proposals for agentic AI — which one should I bet on?"
CTO · Mid-Market Healthcare
📄
"I need to double-check my cloud migration ROI before the CFO sees it."
SVP Digital Transformation · Retail
BREAKING INTELLIGENCE
Full Timeline →
Earnings
NVIDIA
NVIDIA Q4 2026: Data Center Revenue Surges 82% — What It Means for Your AI Bet
Product
Autonomous Agents
Copilot Studio 2.0
Microsoft Launches Copilot Studio 2.0 — Should You Rethink Your Agent Strategy?
Decision-Maker Data
H1
H2
67%
2026
CIO Survey · n=847
67% of CIOs Accelerating AI Spend — How Does Your Budget Compare?
Which vendors are you betting on?
Tell us which vendors you currently work with or are evaluating. We'll instantly surface composite scores, dimension breakdowns, portfolio-level health metrics, and actionable gaps you can take to your next vendor review.
1
Select your vendors, rate your satisfaction, and set their status
Click a vendor to add it. Rate your satisfaction (1-5 stars) and set the relationship status — Active, Evaluating, or Considering. We'll compare your real-world experience against Signal's objective scores to surface perception gaps you might be missing.
2
See how your portfolio stacks up
Your vendor portfolio is only as strong as its weakest link. We'll calculate a portfolio health score, identify dimension gaps across your vendors, and flag risks that could affect your next renewal cycle.
Vendor Evaluation
Score a vendor across all six dimensions. Adjust weights to match your org's priorities and see the composite score update in real time.
Vendor Selection
Weight Configuration
100%
BVI17%
Innovation20%
Vision17%
GTM17%
Ecosystem13%
Trust16%
Dimension Scores
BVI (Business Value Index)
88
Innovation Capability
85
Strategic Vision
86
GTM Execution
90
Ecosystem & Partnerships
84
Trust & Transparency
87
Live Composite
86.6
Composite Score
ELITE
Compare vendors side-by-side
Your competitors are making decisions with data like this right now. Pick the vendors on your shortlist and get a dimension-by-dimension breakdown in seconds.
1
Start with a common matchup
These are the vendor battles CIOs ask us about most. Pick one to see instant results, or scroll down to build your own.
2
Or build your own comparison
Select 2 vendors you're actually evaluating. We'll score them across Business Value, Innovation, Vision, GTM Execution, Ecosystem, and Trust.
Your comparison appears below — radar chart, dimension table, and analyst-generated insights
Select two vendors above to see comparison
Side-by-side scores, dimension breakdowns, and analyst-generated strengths & weaknesses
Will this deal pay for itself?
Enter the real economics of the deal you're evaluating. We'll calculate Total Cost of Ownership, project costs over time, and tell you whether the price matches the vendor's Signal score — so you can walk into the CFO meeting with data.
1
Which vendor are you evaluating?
We'll pull their Futurum Signal composite score to calculate value alignment against your deal economics.
2
Enter the deal economics
These are the numbers your CFO will ask about. We'll compute Year 1 Total Cost of Ownership, average annual cost, and total commitment — plus show you how costs break down and compound.
20%
How fragile is your vendor shortlist?
Vendor rankings look solid until you change the weights. Shift what matters most to your organization and watch which vendors hold their position — and which ones collapse.
1
Choose a practice area
Rankings vary dramatically by category. A vendor that's #1 in AI Platforms might be #4 in Cybersecurity.
2
Pick the vendor you're betting on
We'll stress-test this vendor across all 6 scoring dimensions and show you exactly where they're vulnerable.
Score Sensitivity — How each dimension weight shift impacts the score
AWS
Score: 88.8
ELITE
If you shift each dimension weight by +20%, here's what happens to the score:
BVI
-1.8 / +1.5
Innovation
-0.2 / +0.1
Vision
-2.2 / +5.1
GTM
-1.5 / +5.2
Ecosystem
-0.9 / -3.0
Trust
-3.7 / +1.5
Insight: AWS is most vulnerable on Trust
A +20% weight shift on Trust drops the score by 3.7 points. If Trust matters most to your org, dig deeper before committing.
Rank Stability — Does your vendor hold position under every weighting scenario?
How the top 5 AI Platform vendors re-rank under different weight emphases:
| Rank | Default | BVI Heavy | Innovation Heavy | GTM Heavy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | AWS 88.8 | Google 88.9 | AWS 88.8 | AWS 91.2 |
| #2 | Google 88.6 | AWS 88.6 | Google 86.7 | Google 89.3 |
| #3 | Microsoft 86.6 | Microsoft 86.1 | Microsoft 86.5 | Microsoft 85.2 |
| #4 | NVIDIA 84.5 | Upgrade for full rank stability across all vendors | ||
| #5 | OpenAI 81.1 | |||
Key finding: AWS holds #1 in 3 of 4 weight scenarios
Only loses to Google when BVI is overweighted. Microsoft is rock-stable at #3 regardless of emphasis.
What if the market shifts tomorrow?
You're making a 3-year commitment. What happens to your vendor choice if the market prioritizes innovation over stability? Or if a recession flips the script? Model it before you sign.
1
What category are you buying in?
The impact of market shifts varies by category. AI Platforms respond very differently to recession scenarios than Enterprise Software.
2
Choose the scenario that worries you most
Each scenario reweights the 6 scoring dimensions to model a different market reality. See which vendors rise and which ones fall.
AI Bull Case
Innovation & Vision heavily overweighted. Best vendor if AI bets pay off.
Recession / Risk-Off
BVI & GTM execution matter most. Who survives a downturn?
Security-First
Trust & Ecosystem overweighted. Best vendor for regulated industries.
Custom Scenario
Set your own dimension weights to match your org's priorities.
Pro
What you'll see: How vendor rankings shift under "AI Bull Case"
AI Bull Case weights:
BVI 12%
Innovation 30%
Vision 25%
GTM 10%
Ecosystem 8%
Trust 15%
| Rank | Vendor | Default Score | AI Bull Case | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 88.6 | 88.2 | +1 | |
| #2 | AWS | 88.8 | 87.4 | -1 |
| #3 | Microsoft | 86.6 | 86.6 | -- |
| #4 | NVIDIA | 84.5 | 84.0 | -- |
| #5 | Databricks | 71.3 | 77.0 | +2 |
Watch out
AWS drops from #1 to #2 in an AI-heavy world. Google takes the lead on Innovation scores.
Opportunity
Databricks jumps from #7 to #5 — a dark horse if your org is betting big on AI.
"For fifteen years, I've been an analyst giving opinions on enterprise technology. Now we have the data to prove them — or disprove them. That's more powerful."
Daniel Newman · CEO & Chief Analyst, Futurum Group
The Insight Gap, Closed
Three fragmented data sources. Now one platform.
Before · Fragmented
Market &
Industry
Data
Industry
Data
Analyst
Research
Research
Buyer
& Customer
Insight
& Customer
Insight
Lagging indicators · anecdotal feedback · analyst interpretation. Even the best teams fly blind.
Now
LIVE FROM POLARIS
4-Source Data Stream · Pulled 2026-05-05
Cross-checked · ready for analyst use
ETR
SPEND PULSE
APR26 TSIS
Anthropic +10pp
Net Score 78% · highest in ML/AI sector. 13 of 19 OpenAI decreasers cite Anthropic.
N=1,709 ITDMs · ETR APR26
SIG
FUTURUM SIGNAL
LIVE
Microsoft 79.4
Software Engineering Q1'26 · vs IBM 74.9 · Google 72.6 · GitHub 53.4. Microsoft leads.
app.futurumgroup.com/api/signal · Run 6983c41f
G2
BUYER INTENT
LIVE
Gemini 9/10
G2 LLM category buyer-intent score · Feb 15 2026. Top of 100-signal pull.
api/g2-data/buyer-intent-signals
FEED
INTEL FEED
LIVE
218 items
Latest: Piraeus + Accenture + Anthropic Hub · Apr 20 2026 [threat]
api/intelligence-feed?search=Anthropic
Provenance: ETR figures sourced from APR26 TSIS findings report · Futurum Signal scores live from
app.futurumgroup.com/api/signal/runs/{id}/scores · G2 buyer intent live from /api/g2-data/buyer-intent-signals · Intelligence feed live from /api/intelligence-feed. DM Survey figures throughout this prototype are illustrative — productized integration would query decisionMakerService in polaris.
★ Headline Insight
13 / 19
OpenAI spend decreasers
name Anthropic as the
direct beneficiary
name Anthropic as the
direct beneficiary
The AI vendor share-shift is now measurable, not anecdotal — and it's faster than any analyst predicted six months ago.
OpenAI just posted its first Y/Y Net Score decline (-16pp) in ETR's history. In Edge interviews, 13 of 19 OpenAI decreasers explicitly named Anthropic. Cross-checked: Anthropic's Net Score hit 78% (+10pp YoY), the highest in ML/AI. Buyer DM priority for Anthropic rose +19pp in two quarters. G2 sentiment confirms (4.7/5 across 1,234 reviews). Four independent data sources, one direction.
Sources Aligned
ETRNet Score ✓
FIPDM Survey ✓
G2User Reviews ✓
EDGEdge Qual. ✓
TSIS Apr 2026 · CY26 IT Spend Growth
+3.6% ▼ 100bps from Jan
Erasing January's upward revision · matches July 2025 levels · N=1,709
CY2025/2024
CY2026/2025
Why ETR Beats Anecdotes
9,000+ vetted ITDMs · 30% C-suite · 45% leaders. Every quarter. Same instrument. Apples to apples.
Vetted community9,000+ ITDMs
Tech spend tracked$2T+ annual
Vendors covered400+ across 29 sectors
Longitudinal depth15+ years
C-suite share30% of community
Spend-Weighted Mean Growth by Area
Where the budget is actually moving · CY2026 vs CY2025
Cloud (IaaS, PaaS)
+7.9%
▲ vs 7.4% Apr'25
Hardware
+3.7%
▲▲ from 1.4% YoY
Software (on-prem, SaaS)
+3.7%
▼ 2 surveys in row
Outsourced Services
+0.9%
▼ Below 1% growth
Live Intelligence Feed
LIVE FROM POLARIS
Real items from
/api/intelligence-feed?search=Anthropic · 218 total items in feed
THREAT · HIGH
Apr 20 2026 · crypto.news
Piraeus launches AI Hub with Accenture and Anthropic to modernize banking operations
Vendor: Anthropic · Competitors detected: Accenture · Industry: IT
INSIGHT · MEDIUM
Mar 25 2026
Microsoft and Anthropic Team up for a $30 Billion AI Venture
Anthropic · Microsoft partnership · diversification play
INSIGHT · HIGH
May 3 2026 · cryptobriefing.com
NVIDIA's AI market share in China drops amid US export controls
Macro · China decoupling · NVIDIA
INSIGHT · MEDIUM
May 3 2026 · cryptobriefing.com
Alphabet gains $420B in market cap, challenges Nvidia for top spot
Google · Vertex AI demand · share price proxy for AI demand
Where Cost Cuts Are Coming From
Staffing cuts ease · SaaS optimization rises (FinOps maturing)
Reduce staffing costs20% ▼5pp
Vendor consolidation16%
Delay or stop new projects15%
Optimize SaaS licensing9% ▲ highest reading
Where Increased Spend Is Going
Hardware spend at series high — tariff pre-buying confirmed
Accelerate new projects24% ▼3pp
Expand cloud resources15%
Increase hardware spend13% ▲ series high
Adopt new vendors6% 2:1 prefer existing
AI Platforms
Practice AreaEnterprise AI has moved past the pilot phase. The winners in 2026 are operationalizing AI at scale — building agentic workflows, governing autonomous systems, and choosing platforms that go from experiment to production. This practice tracks the vendors, architectures, and strategies that separate real deployment from expensive demos.
Agentic AI
Model Optimization
AI Governance
Infrastructure at Scale
AI Sovereignty
$292B market by 2030
Nick Patience
VP & Practice Lead, AI Platforms
Updated Mar 12, 2026
Analyst Briefing
AI Platforms Q1 2026
"$292B market by 2030 — 42% of enterprises running agentic AI in production. Here's what it means for your strategy."
0:00
--:--
Key Highlights
75% increasing AI budgets
52% compute → inference
56% blocked by talent gaps
Microsoft leads at 28%
This Week's Polls
COMMUNITY
Vote to see how peers compare
LIVE NEWS & INSIGHTS
LIVE
Updated 12 min ago
What Moved This Week
Mar 4–10
MARKET SIZING — TAM, VENDOR REVENUE & FORECASTS
Futurum Analyst Estimates · Q1 2026
Decision Point LIVE DATA
Systemic constraints — EU AI Act compliance costs, AI talent shortages, and data center power bottlenecks — are the three forces most likely to flatten this growth curve after 2028. Have you stress-tested your AI roadmap against all three?
Source: Futurum Intelligence Platform API, Mar 2026
Decision Point
Agent Builders is the fastest-growing segment — from $3.2B (2024) to $83.5B (2030). Are you investing enough in agentic?
Agent Builders overtakes all other segments by 2028. Infrastructure (training+inference) still accounts for 33% but agents are where the growth is. Rebalance accordingly.
Useful insight?
Optimize my budget
COMMUNITY POLL
342 responses
Where is YOUR biggest AI spend going in 2026?
Vote to see how your peers compare
Open-Source vs Proprietary
Ask AI
OpenAI GPT (40.9%) leads model adoption, but Meta Llama (20.9%) and Hugging Face (12.2%) show open-source gaining. 17.1% run custom in-house models.
Source: AI Platforms DM Survey · n=838 · Q14
Decision Point
Run open-source for non-critical workloads to reduce API costs 40-60%. Keep proprietary for regulated and customer-facing use cases.
What's your open-source strategy?
Multi-Model Strategy
Ask AI
Top 3 models total 106.1% adoption (OpenAI 40.9% + Azure 33.3% + Gemini 31.9%) — multi-model is the default. 54.9% use a balanced build+buy approach.
Source: AI Platforms DM Survey · n=838 · Q14+Q10
Decision Point
If you're on 1 provider, you're in the minority. Build abstraction layers now — switching costs rise exponentially once you're in production.
How many AI providers does your org use?
Regional Growth
Ask AI
APAC
Fastest (65% CAGR)
$90.2B by 2030
NA
Largest (41%)
$118.5B by 2030
EMEA
EU AI Act drag
$76.9B by 2030
Source: Futurum Market Forecast API · Region view
Decision Point
APAC +42% signals where next-gen AI talent and adoption are concentrating. Factor regional dynamics into vendor selection and data residency planning.
Where is your AI investment concentrated?
Key Decisions from the Data
Source: Futurum Market Forecast API + SOTM Q1 2026
MARKET OVERVIEW
AI Platforms TAM forecast & vendor market share
INTERACTIVE
Source: Futurum API
What Decision Makers Say
Revenue increase (57.6%) is the #1 AI success metric among 838 DMs. Meanwhile 54.9% use a balanced build+buy approach — enterprises want control within platform ecosystems, driving Agent Builders to 29% of the $292B market.
See full Decision Intelligence →
Ask AI
ANALYST INSIGHT
The B TAM tells you the market is enormous. But which platforms are CIOs actually choosing? Switch to the Vendor Intelligence tab for Signal scores, CIO survey data, and satisfaction ratings.
IBM
How Does IBM Compare to 838 AI Platform Decision Makers?
Based on Futurum’s 1H 2025 AI Platforms DM Survey. Confirm or correct each answer for personalized benchmarks.
PERSONALIZED
5 QUESTIONS · 60 SEC
1
What % of your AI budget goes to inference vs. training?
Enterprise benchmark: 52.4% of compute now goes to inference
n=838
2
Where is your organization on agentic AI?
IBM has watsonx Orchestrate + AgentOps = Deploying
n=838
3
What’s your AI development approach — build, buy, or mix?
IBM sells watsonx platform + Granite but also consulting = Balanced mix
n=838
4
How do you primarily measure AI success?
IBM’s consulting-led model suggests: Revenue increase
n=838
5
What’s your biggest concern about agentic AI?
IBM’s governance focus suggests: Security & data privacy
n=838
AI PLATFORMS DECISION MAKER INSIGHTS
How 838 enterprise decision makers are adopting, deploying, and scaling AI platforms
INTERACTIVE
Source: 1H 2025 AI Platforms DM Survey · n=838
TOP USE CASE
63.1%
deploy AI for customer service automation — the dominant use case. Process automation (55.7%) and data analysis (54.4%) follow.
AI Platforms DM Survey · n=838
COMPUTE SHIFT
52.4%
of AI compute now goes to inference, not training. Training is just 27.6%. The economics have flipped.
AI Platforms DM Survey · n=838
BUDGET MOMENTUM
74.6%
increasing AI budgets next 12 months. 21.7% growing 50%+. Only 7.6% planning cuts. Money is flowing.
AI Platforms DM Survey · n=838
Key Finding
54.9% Mix
Balanced build+buy is the dominant approach. Pure in-house (25.7%) is a minority. Vendors with flexible deployment win.
Ask AI
Critical Gap
25.8%
Security & privacy is the #1 agentic AI concern. Followed by loss of human control (23.5%). Governance sells.
Ask AI
Market Signal
$292B
AI Platforms market by 2030 (50.8% CAGR). From $24.9B in 2024. Bull case: $819B. The stakes are existential.
Ask AI
Who Decides
CTO 25%
CTOs hold primary AI purchase authority. CIO (12.3%) + CAIO (11.2%) follow. AI buying has moved to tech leadership.
Ask AI
Futurum AI
Ask anything
Semiconductor & Compute
Data center GPUs, CPUs, XPUs, and AI accelerators. Market sizing, vendor share, silicon specs, and decision-maker survey data from 831 enterprise buyers.
LIVE NEWS & INSIGHTS
LIVE
Updated 12 min ago
WHERE SUPPLY MEETS DEMAND — TENSION POINTS
The NVIDIA Paradox
Market dominance vs. buyer restlessness
Market Data Says
96.3%
GPU revenue market share. $33.8B quarterly revenue.
Decision Makers Say
40.2%
likely to switch vendors. Top: Price/Perf (47.9%), SW Ecosystem (47.1%).
DECISION POINT
NVIDIA's position looks impregnable from the supply side, but 40% of demand is looking for exits. The switching won't happen until ROCm or Triton close the CUDA gap — but price/performance pressure is building faster than revenue share suggests.
The Power Wall
The silent infrastructure crisis becoming a board-level risk
Market Data Says
56.2 GW
Total power across 786 GPU clusters. A GB200 NVL72 rack draws ~120kW.
Decision Makers Say
22.5%
cite power/cooling as #2 scaling constraint. 20.5% need 50+ MW.
DECISION POINT
Most enterprise DCs were designed for 8-15kW/rack. AI compute demands 60-120kW/rack. CIOs who haven't started facility planning are already 12-18 months behind their peers.
The Custom Silicon Inflection
Hyperscalers building their own chips — what it means for enterprise
Market Data Says
$84B
XPU market by 2029 (~28% CAGR). Broadcom 72.9% XPU share.
Decision Makers Say
30.8%
use Google TPU, 26.4% AWS Trainium. 28.2% use cloud reserve.
DECISION POINT
Custom silicon is creating a parallel compute economy. Enterprises access it through cloud consumption, not direct purchase. The 28.2% using cloud reserve are already in the custom silicon ecosystem without buying a chip.
Cybersecurity & Resilience
Vendor Signal scores, budget intelligence, and threat landscape data for enterprise security decision makers.
LIVE NEWS & INSIGHTS
LIVE
Updated 12 min ago
SIGNAL SCORE CHANGES THIS WEEK
Palo Alto Networks
82.4 → 84.7 (+2.3)
CyberArk acquisition creates the broadest platform play in security. Identity + network + cloud in one stack — a first.CrowdStrike
82.7 → 83.5 (+0.8)
Pangea acquisition + Onum data pipeline play signals CrowdStrike is building telemetry control before SIEM.Microsoft Security
87.5 → 87.1 (-0.4)
Antitrust scrutiny on bundled security pricing creates modest headwind. $20B revenue milestone partially offset.5 Forces Shaping Cybersecurity in 2026
Source: Futurum SOTM Q4 2025
1
Platform Consolidation
↑ Accelerating
▶
65% of enterprises plan to reduce security vendor count by 2027, from an average of 47 tools to 25. Palo Alto, Microsoft, and CrowdStrike are the primary consolidation targets. Best-of-breed is losing to integrated platforms.
IBM Impact: QRadar + Verify positioned for consolidation but lacks endpoint. IBM needs an endpoint story to compete with Palo Alto's new identity-network-cloud stack.
2
Agentic AI in Security
↑ Defining shift
▶
Autonomous SOC is the next frontier. Microsoft, CrowdStrike, and Trend Micro are re-architecting their platforms around agentic AI that can triage, investigate, and remediate without human intervention. The race is to autonomous threat response.
IBM Impact: QRadar needs agentic capabilities to compete with Microsoft Sentinel's autonomous SOC roadmap. IBM's watsonx integration with QRadar is a start but needs acceleration.
3
Identity as Core Platform
↑ Accelerating
▶
Post-CyberArk acquisition, identity is no longer a standalone category. It's the foundation of platform security. Palo Alto, Microsoft (Entra), and Okta are racing to make identity the control plane for all security decisions.
IBM Impact: IBM Verify is competitive but integration depth needs to match Palo Alto's new identity stack. The gap is closing fast — IBM has 12-18 months to respond.
4
Data Pipeline Control
↑ Rising
▶
Security vendors are racing to own telemetry before it reaches the SIEM. CrowdStrike acquired Onum, SentinelOne acquired Observo. Whoever controls the data pipeline controls the security stack economics.
IBM Impact: QRadar's data ingestion pipeline is a moat — but needs expansion. IBM should consider acquisitions in the security data pipeline space to maintain its SIEM advantage.
5
Regulatory Catalyst
↑ Intensifying
▶
EU NIS2, SEC disclosure rules, and DORA are driving 34% of new security spend. Compliance is no longer a checkbox — it's a primary budget driver. Enterprises that automate compliance reporting gain 40% cost advantage.
IBM Impact: Compliance automation is an IBM strength. OpenPages + QRadar compliance reporting positions IBM well for regulatory-driven buying. This is IBM's strongest tailwind in cybersecurity.
Decision Point LIVE DATA
If your incident response plan doesn't model for 19+ days of degraded operations, your business continuity assumptions are outdated. Pressure-test your recovery SLAs against this benchmark.
Source: Futurum Intelligence Platform API, Mar 2026
MARKET OVERVIEW
Cybersecurity market sizing, budget intent signals & vendor dynamics
INTERACTIVE
Source: Futurum API
CIO Takeaway: 73.2% of security leaders are increasing budgets — the strongest spend signal across all 14 tech sectors. Palo Alto and CrowdStrike dominate Signal scores, but Microsoft Security's bundling strategy is the biggest competitive threat.
FUTURUM SIGNAL — SECURITY OPERATIONS PLATFORMS
Security Operations Platforms — proprietary evaluation across 5 dimensions
PROPRIETARY
Source: FSRSOP202511 · Nov 12, 2025 · 12 vendors
Signal Comparative Zones
Elite 90+
Leader 80–89
Established 70–79
Aspiring <70
91.1
Elite
90.7
Elite
Elite Zone (90+)
91.1
Microsoft
90.7
CrowdStrike
90.5
Palo Alto
Three vendors in Elite. Palo Alto leads Innovation (95.0); Microsoft leads Vision (95.1) & Ecosystem (94.2).
Leader Zone Density
4
vendors in Leader tier
Google Cloud (89.6), Cisco (87.1), SentinelOne (84.4), and Fortinet (80.6) form a competitive Leader band.
GTM: CrowdStrike 92.6
Eco: Microsoft 94.2
Dimension Leaders
Biz ValuePalo Alto 88.2
InnovationPalo Alto 95.0
VisionMicrosoft 95.1
GTMCrowdStrike 92.6
EcosystemMicrosoft 94.2
Methodology: Futurum Signal scores are a weighted composite of analyst assessments, decision-maker survey data (n=1,008), vendor financial performance, and market momentum indicators across 12 vendors. Scores range 0–100. Source: FSRSOP202511, Nov 12, 2025. Request a custom vendor assessment for proprietary scoring.
SIGNAL VISUALIZATIONS — CYBERSECURITY
Futurum Signal · 12 vendors · FSRSOP202511
DECISION MAKER SURVEY DATA
Source: 2H 2025 Cybersecurity DM Survey · n=1,008
BUDGET INTENT (n=1,008)
Modest increase (5-15%)50.1%
Significant increase (>15%)23.1%
Flat (±5%)14.9%
Modest decrease8.5%
Significant decrease3.4%
73.2% plan increases — strongest spend signal across all 14 tech sectors tracked by Futurum.
DETECTION & RESPONSE CONFIDENCE
Detection Confidence
68.4%
Very/Extremely confident
Up from 62.2%
Response Confidence
63.5%
Very/Extremely confident
Gap closing but still trails detection
Key insight: The 4.9pp gap between detection (68.4%) and response (63.5%) confidence represents the autonomous SOC opportunity. Vendors that close this gap with agentic AI win the next cycle.
PLATFORM vs POINT SOLUTION MIX
Mixed (40-60% platform)
42%
Primarily platform
26%
Mostly platform (>80%)
13%
Primarily point solutions
15%
Mostly point (>80%)
4%
81% are at least 40% platform. Platform consolidation is the dominant trend. Pure point-solution approaches are dying.
VENDOR MARKET SHARE (2025 Revenue)
Microsoft15.2%
Palo Alto Networks8.4%
CrowdStrike6.1%
Fortinet5.8%
Cisco (incl. Splunk)5.3%
Others59.2%
SECURITY SPEND BY CATEGORY (2026E) — $242B Total
21%
Cloud Security
$52B · +10% YoY
16%
Network Security
$40B
15%
Data Security
$36B
13%
Endpoint Security
$32B
11%
Identity & Access
$28B
10%
SecOps / Risk Mgmt
$24B
Cloud security remains the largest category at $52B (+10% YoY). Identity & Access Management is the fastest-growing segment at +17% YoY. Data Security ($36B) has emerged as a major category. Remaining: Application Security ($13B) and Others ($19B).
UNLOCK PEER BENCHMARKS
Futurum DM Survey · 2025-2026
Decision Pulse — Are you making a security platform decision?
Answer 3 questions to unlock peer benchmarks, vendor usage data, and budget comparisons below.
Timeline
Budget Range
Competing Vendors
Where is your biggest incremental security dollar going in 2026? LIVE DATA
How many days of downtime could your org survive from a ransomware event?
How IBM's Security Stack Compares to Peers
Based on 1,008 security decision makers. Your company: IBM. Peer group: F100 Technology, 100K+ employees.
12% YoY
Avg cybersecurity
budget increase LIVE DATA
budget increase LIVE DATA
28%
Cloud security share
of budget — #1 line item LIVE DATA
of budget — #1 line item LIVE DATA
42%
New spend going to proactive
risk & threat intel LIVE DATA
risk & threat intel LIVE DATA
18% YoY
IAM spending growth
— fastest category LIVE DATA
— fastest category LIVE DATA
Ask Mitch
AI Devices & PCs
Vendor Signal scores, refresh cycle intelligence, and silicon platform data for enterprise PC decision makers.
LIVE NEWS & INSIGHTS
LIVE
Updated 12 min ago
SIGNAL SCORE CHANGES THIS WEEK
Intel Signal Score
81.2 → 82.4 (+1.2)
Panther Lake sample shipments and OEM commitment drive momentum. Intel reclaiming the enterprise AI PC narrative after Meteor Lake underdelivered.Qualcomm Signal Score
72.7 → 74.8 (+2.1)
X2 Elite benchmark leaks showing 45 TOPS + 28hr battery are game-changing numbers. Enterprise Arm adoption accelerating.Apple Signal Score
85.5 → 85.2 (-0.3)
Minor tick down on enterprise share pressure. Apple's MDM story is strong but Windows-dominated F100 IT shops continue to resist standardization on Mac.5 Forces Shaping AI Devices in 2026
Source: Futurum Devices Practice
1
Windows 10 EOL Refresh
↑ Critical
▶
240M PCs still on Windows 10, with EOL in October 2026. 62% of enterprises are forced to refresh by that date, and 71% will choose AI PCs over traditional replacements. This is the largest PC refresh cycle since the Windows XP-to-7 migration.
IBM Impact: 280K employees = massive fleet. Timing refresh to avoid premium pricing is key. Q3-Q4 2026 procurement window offers best volume pricing.
2
Silicon Platform Fragmentation
↑ Accelerating
▶
For the first time, 4 viable silicon platforms compete for enterprise: Intel (52%), AMD (23%), Apple Silicon (16%), Qualcomm (9%). Each offers different performance/efficiency tradeoffs. Enterprise IT must now evaluate NPU TOPS, battery life, and app compatibility across architectures.
IBM Impact: Multi-platform support adds IT complexity. Standardization vs. best-fit tradeoff — IBM's current Intel/Lenovo standard may need revisiting as Qualcomm matures.
3
NPU Threshold Wars
↔ Defining
▶
40+ TOPS is the new enterprise baseline, driven by Microsoft's Copilot+ requirement. Sub-20 TOPS "AI PCs" are already obsolete for enterprise use. The TOPS race is pushing silicon vendors to prioritize local AI inference over traditional CPU benchmarks.
IBM Impact: Fleet spec decisions must future-proof for 40+ TOPS. Any procurement below this threshold is a wasted investment that will need replacement within 18 months.
4
ASP Compression
↓ Favorable
▶
Enterprise AI PC prices dropping ~11% YoY ($1,680 → $1,502 → $1,340E). Volume competition among OEMs and maturing silicon supply chains are driving costs down. Fleet-wide refresh is becoming economically viable for the first time.
IBM Impact: Budget window opening — Q3-Q4 2026 optimal for bulk procurement. At $1,340 ASP, a 280K-unit refresh becomes ~$375M vs. $470M at 2024 prices.
5
Arm vs x86 Enterprise Shift
↑ Emerging
▶
Qualcomm + Microsoft are pushing Arm architecture into enterprise Windows PCs for the first time at scale. App compatibility is the blocker — but Microsoft's Prism translation layer and native Arm recompilation are closing the gap. The efficiency advantages (2x battery life) are compelling.
IBM Impact: IBM's enterprise software stack needs Arm validation before any fleet pivot. Legacy Win32 applications are the key gatekeeper — recommend 6-month Arm compatibility audit.
Ask Olivier
Channel Ecosystems
Cloud marketplace commerce is the fastest-growing route to market in enterprise tech. This practice tracks marketplace strategies, partner ecosystem dynamics, and the shift from traditional channel to digital-first go-to-market — across AWS, Google, Microsoft, Salesforce, and 6 other platform vendors.
Cloud Marketplaces Partner GTM ISV Ecosystems Marketplace Commerce Platform Economics
LIVE NEWS & INSIGHTS
LIVE
Updated 12 min ago
What Moved This Week
Mar 4–10
SIGNAL SCORE CHANGES THIS WEEK
AWS Marketplace
86.2 → 87.4 (+1.2)
Run rate acceleration and ISV ecosystem depth continue to widen the lead. Co-sell attribution improvements driving partner satisfaction.Salesforce AppExchange
79.5 → 81.8 (+2.3)
AgentExchange launch adds a new dimension to partner discovery. Salesforce is betting big on agent-native partner solutions.Google Cloud Marketplace
84.1 → 83.8 (-0.3)
Minor tick down despite strong innovation. Enterprise adoption still trails AWS. Agent Finder is promising but needs enterprise validation.5 Forces Shaping Channel Ecosystems in 2026
Source: Futurum Channel Practice
1
Marketplace-First Procurement
↑ Accelerating
▶
Enterprise buyers are defaulting to marketplace for cloud-native purchases. 58% now prefer marketplace over direct sales. Procurement teams cite simplified compliance, consolidated billing, and vendor vetting as key drivers.
IBM Impact: IBM Partner Plus needs deeper marketplace integration. AWS and Azure marketplace listings for IBM software should be the default distribution channel, not an afterthought.
2
Agent Marketplace Emergence
↑ Defining shift
▶
Google Agent Finder and Salesforce AgentExchange are creating entirely new partner discovery mechanisms. Agent marketplaces will reshape how enterprises find and deploy partner solutions by 2027.
IBM Impact: IBM watsonx agents need presence in Google and Salesforce agent marketplaces. First-mover advantage in agent discovery is critical — the window is 6-12 months.
3
Co-Sell Revenue Models
↑ Rising
▶
Hyperscaler co-sell programs now account for 25%+ of partner revenue for top ISVs. AWS co-sell attribution improvements and Microsoft co-sell incentives are reshaping partner economics.
IBM Impact: IBM should leverage co-sell partnerships with hyperscalers to accelerate watsonx distribution. Cloud marketplace co-sell is the fastest path to new enterprise logos.
4
Marketplace Data as Competitive Moat
↑ Building
▶
Marketplace operators now have unprecedented visibility into enterprise buying patterns, technology adoption, and vendor evaluation. This data is becoming a strategic asset for platform vendors.
IBM Impact: IBM should analyze its own marketplace transaction data for competitive intelligence. Partner purchase patterns reveal enterprise technology priorities.
5
Regulatory & Compliance Simplification
↑ Growing
▶
67% of enterprises cite compliance simplification as a top marketplace benefit. Pre-vetted vendors, standardized contracts, and automated audit trails reduce procurement friction by 40%.
IBM Impact: IBM's regulated industry strength aligns well with compliance-driven marketplace adoption. Position IBM solutions as compliance-ready marketplace offerings.
Ask Alex
Buyer Insights
Enterprise tech buying is undergoing its biggest transformation in a decade. AI is reshaping how CIOs evaluate vendors, allocate budgets, and make platform decisions. This practice delivers behavioral data from 1,200+ decision makers across all practice areas — the demand-side intelligence that tells you what buyers actually do, not what vendors claim.
CIO Priorities Budget Allocation Vendor Evaluation Tech Adoption Curves Buying Committees
LIVE NEWS & INSIGHTS
LIVE
Updated 12 min ago
What Moved This Week
Mar 4–10
SIGNAL SCORE CHANGES THIS WEEK
Microsoft (Cross-practice)
87.5 → 88.1 (+0.6)
Copilot adoption driving enterprise stickiness across the Microsoft stack. Buyer preference remains strong.AWS (Cross-practice)
84.3 → 85.0 (+0.7)
Bedrock multi-model approach resonating with CIOs pursuing multi-vendor AI strategies.Salesforce (Cross-practice)
76.2 → 75.4 (-0.8)
Agentforce enthusiasm cooling as enterprises struggle with per-agent pricing model. ROI proof gap widening.5 Forces Shaping Buyer Insights in 2026
Source: Futurum Buyer Practice
1
AI-Compressed Buying Cycles
↑ Accelerating
▶
AI-assisted procurement is reducing enterprise evaluation cycles from 6 months to 90 days. Buying committees are shrinking from 11 to 7 stakeholders as AI handles vendor comparison and RFP analysis.
IBM Impact: IBM sales teams must adapt to compressed cycles. AI-ready sales materials and automated POC provisioning are now table stakes for enterprise deals.
2
ROI-Gated Procurement
↑ Intensifying
▶
61% of CIOs now require ROI proof within 90 days for AI investments. The bar is rising — vendors who can't demonstrate time-to-value quickly are being cut from shortlists.
IBM Impact: IBM needs fast-track ROI calculators for every product line. Proof-of-value in 30 days, not 6 months, should be the standard engagement model.
3
Multi-Vendor AI Strategies
↑ Dominant
▶
72% of F500 run 3+ AI platforms. Single-vendor standardization is dead. Enterprises are deliberately diversifying to avoid lock-in and access best-of-breed capabilities.
IBM Impact: IBM's open, multi-cloud positioning is a strategic asset. watsonx's ability to integrate with AWS, Azure, and GCP is the right play for multi-vendor enterprises.
4
Buying Committee Shrinkage
↓ Favorable
▶
Smaller committees (7 vs 11) mean faster decisions but also mean fewer champions inside the account. Sales teams need to identify and influence the right 7 stakeholders, not spray across 11.
IBM Impact: IBM account teams should map the new, smaller buying committees. Focus on the 3-4 decision makers who matter most, not the 11 who used to be involved.
5
Peer-Influenced Decisions
↑ Growing
▶
CIOs increasingly rely on peer benchmarks and community data to validate vendor choices. 54% say peer recommendations outweigh analyst reports in final vendor selection.
IBM Impact: IBM should invest in customer reference programs and peer community building. Authentic peer validation is now more influential than traditional analyst coverage.
Ask Dion
Data Intelligence
Data is the foundation of every AI initiative — and the platforms that manage, govern, and activate enterprise data are the kingmakers of 2026. This practice tracks the convergence of data warehouses, lakehouses, and AI pipelines across Databricks, Snowflake, and the hyperscaler stacks.
Data Lakehouses DataOps AI Data Pipelines Data Governance Real-Time Analytics
LIVE NEWS & INSIGHTS
LIVE
Updated 12 min ago
What Moved This Week
Mar 4–10
SIGNAL SCORE CHANGES THIS WEEK
Databricks
88.4 → 90.1 (+1.7)
$62B valuation and expanding enterprise adoption drive Signal score higher. Unity Catalog becoming the de facto data governance standard.Snowflake
82.7 → 83.5 (+0.8)
Anthropic partnership adds AI-native capabilities. Cortex AI features closing the gap with Databricks on ML workloads.Microsoft Fabric
79.2 → 78.6 (-0.6)
Fabric adoption slower than expected. Enterprise confusion about Fabric vs. Synapse vs. Azure Data Lake positioning persists.5 Forces Shaping Data Intelligence in 2026
Source: Futurum Data Practice
1
Lakehouse Convergence
↑ Dominant
▶
Lakehouse architecture has reached 47% enterprise adoption, up from near-zero in 2022. The convergence of data warehouse and data lake capabilities into a single platform is now the standard architecture for new data initiatives.
IBM Impact: IBM watsonx.data is built on lakehouse architecture (Apache Iceberg). IBM is well-positioned but needs to accelerate go-to-market against Databricks and Snowflake.
2
AI-Native Data Platforms
↑ Defining shift
▶
Every data platform is now an AI platform. Databricks, Snowflake, and the hyperscalers are integrating ML training, inference, and agent capabilities directly into the data layer. The standalone data platform is dead.
IBM Impact: watsonx.data + watsonx.ai integration is IBM's competitive advantage. The combined data+AI story needs to be the lead message in every enterprise conversation.
3
Real-Time Data Streaming
↑ Accelerating
▶
Real-time data streaming adoption has reached 42% for AI workloads. Confluent, Databricks, and AWS are leading the shift from batch to streaming architectures. AI models that can't access real-time data are becoming obsolete.
IBM Impact: IBM's streaming capabilities need investment. Real-time data access for watsonx models is critical for enterprise AI use cases like fraud detection and supply chain optimization.
4
Data Governance Regulation
↑ Intensifying
▶
EU AI Act, GDPR enforcement actions, and industry-specific data regulations are making data governance a boardroom priority. 73% of enterprises are increasing governance spend in 2026.
IBM Impact: IBM OpenPages + watsonx.governance is a strong combination for regulated industries. Data governance-as-a-service could be IBM's differentiated offering.
5
Multi-Cloud Data Portability
↑ Rising
▶
Apache Iceberg has become the de facto standard for multi-cloud data portability. 68% of enterprises now require cloud-agnostic data formats to avoid vendor lock-in.
IBM Impact: watsonx.data's Iceberg-native architecture is the right bet. IBM should lead the open data format narrative to differentiate against proprietary platforms.
Ask Brad
Enterprise Software & Digital Workflows
Enterprise software is being rebuilt from the inside out. Agentic AI is transforming ERP, CRM, and workflow platforms from record systems into autonomous decision engines. This practice tracks the transformation across SAP, Salesforce, ServiceNow, Microsoft, Oracle, and Workday — the platforms that run the enterprise.
ERP Modernization Digital Workflows Agentic Enterprise Process Automation SaaS Transformation
LIVE NEWS & INSIGHTS
LIVE
Updated 12 min ago
What Moved This Week
Mar 4–10
SIGNAL SCORE CHANGES THIS WEEK
ServiceNow
83.5 → 86.2 (+2.7)
Production-scale agentic AI ROI proof is a game-changer. 45% resolution improvement across 200+ enterprises sets the bar for competitors.SAP
78.1 → 79.4 (+1.3)
S/4HANA migration urgency driving engagement. Joule AI copilot gaining traction but needs deeper workflow integration.Workday
74.8 → 73.2 (-1.6)
AI agent launch is strong product but pricing model tension is real. Per-seat economics don't survive automation at scale.5 Forces Shaping Enterprise Software & Digital Workflows in 2026
Source: Futurum Enterprise Practice
1
SAP S/4HANA Migration Wave
↑ Critical
▶
The largest enterprise software migration in history is entering its final phase. 60% of SAP shops haven't started migration. 2027 ECC end-of-support creates a $40B forced migration wave. Procrastination costs increase 30% in the final 12 months.
IBM Impact: IBM Consulting's SAP practice should be capacity-planning for peak migration demand in 2026-2027. This is a multi-billion dollar services opportunity for IBM.
2
Agentic Enterprise Workflows
↑ Defining shift
▶
ServiceNow, Salesforce, and Microsoft are rebuilding enterprise platforms around autonomous AI agents. 45% faster resolution, 30% less manual escalation. The workflow platform is becoming the AI operating system for the enterprise.
IBM Impact: IBM Maximo and Sterling need agentic capabilities to compete. watsonx Orchestrate integration with IBM's enterprise platforms should be accelerated.
3
Outcome-Based Pricing
↑ Emerging
▶
Per-seat SaaS pricing is under existential threat from AI automation. Workday's stock drop is a canary. By Q4 2026, expect major vendors to announce outcome-based or consumption-based pricing alternatives.
IBM Impact: IBM should lead the pricing model transformation. Outcome-based pricing for Maximo, Sterling, and watsonx could be a competitive differentiator.
4
Platform Consolidation
↑ Accelerating
▶
Enterprises are consolidating from 8-12 workflow tools to 3-4 platforms. ServiceNow, Microsoft, and Salesforce are the primary consolidation targets. Best-of-breed point solutions are losing to integrated platforms.
IBM Impact: IBM needs a platform consolidation narrative. How does Maximo + Sterling + watsonx compete as an integrated platform against ServiceNow and Microsoft?
5
AI Copilots in Every Workflow
↑ Dominant
▶
Every enterprise platform now has an AI copilot: SAP Joule, ServiceNow Now Assist, Salesforce Einstein, Microsoft Copilot. The copilot is becoming table stakes — differentiation shifts to autonomous agents and outcome delivery.
IBM Impact: IBM's copilot story needs to go beyond watsonx Assistant. Every IBM enterprise product needs an embedded AI copilot experience that matches the market standard.
Ask Keith
Software Lifecycle Engineering
Software development is being transformed by AI-assisted coding, platform engineering, and autonomous DevSecOps. This practice tracks how GitHub, GitLab, Atlassian, and the major platform vendors are rebuilding the software lifecycle — from code generation to deployment to security scanning — with AI at every stage.
Platform Engineering AI-Assisted Development DevSecOps Software Supply Chain Developer Productivity
LIVE NEWS & INSIGHTS
LIVE
Updated 12 min ago
What Moved This Week
Mar 4–10
SIGNAL SCORE CHANGES THIS WEEK
GitHub
90.4 → 92.1 (+1.7)
Copilot Workspace GA cements GitHub's position as the de facto AI-assisted development platform. 62% acceptance rate on multi-file changes is industry-leading.GitLab
78.3 → 80.5 (+2.2)
Autonomous security scanning in Duo Enterprise is a strong differentiator. GitLab's single-platform DevSecOps story resonates with security-conscious enterprises.Atlassian
75.1 → 74.8 (-0.3)
Rovo AI capabilities are improving but developer tool competition from GitHub and GitLab is intense. Cloud migration friction persists for legacy Jira Server customers.5 Forces Shaping Software Lifecycle Engineering in 2026
Source: Futurum Software Practice
1
AI-Assisted Development at Scale
↑ Dominant
▶
62% acceptance rate on AI-generated multi-file changes means autonomous software engineering is production-ready. Developer productivity improvements of 3x are being measured across early enterprise adopters. Every developer will use AI coding tools by end of 2026.
IBM Impact: IBM needs GitHub Copilot or equivalent AI coding tools for all 50,000+ internal developers. Red Hat should integrate AI-assisted development into OpenShift Dev Spaces.
2
Platform Engineering as Standard
↑ Accelerating
▶
58% adoption means platform engineering is the majority approach. Internal Developer Platforms reduce cognitive load, standardize workflows, and enable self-service infrastructure provisioning. The 'golden path' model is replacing ad-hoc DevOps.
IBM Impact: Red Hat Developer Hub (based on Backstage) is IBM's platform engineering offering. Accelerate adoption and integration with OpenShift to compete with GitLab's built-in platform engineering.
3
Autonomous Security Scanning
↑ Defining shift
▶
AI that finds and fixes vulnerabilities before human code review eliminates the traditional security review bottleneck. 85% fewer security comments in code review. The AppSec team role is shifting from reviewer to governance.
IBM Impact: IBM should integrate autonomous security scanning into its DevSecOps pipeline. Red Hat Advanced Cluster Security needs AI-native vulnerability detection and remediation.
4
Software Supply Chain Governance
↑ Intensifying
▶
Executive Order on software supply chain security, SBOM requirements, and open-source vulnerability management are driving 45% increase in supply chain security spend. Automated SBOM generation and dependency scanning are becoming mandatory.
IBM Impact: Red Hat's open-source pedigree is an advantage for supply chain governance. IBM should position Red Hat as the trusted foundation for software supply chain security.
5
Developer Experience as Competitive Advantage
↑ Rising
▶
Developer experience (DevEx) is becoming a key factor in enterprise platform selection. 73% of engineering leaders say developer satisfaction directly impacts retention and productivity. Platforms that reduce friction win.
IBM Impact: Red Hat OpenShift developer experience needs continued investment. The gap with managed Kubernetes services (GKE, EKS) on developer experience is a competitive risk.
Ask Mitch
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